By Andrew Kariuki
Embakasi East MP Babu Owino and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged as the leading candidates in the race for Nairobi’s top political seats, according to a new opinion poll conducted by the Radio Africa Group.
The survey, carried out between July 25 and July 27, sampled 500 registered voters in Nairobi County and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.4 %.
In the gubernatorial race, Babu Owino holds a commanding lead with 42 % support among respondents.
The results place him 24 % points ahead of incumbent Governor Johnson Sakaja, who registered 17.6% in the poll.
The findings suggest growing political momentum for Owino, whose outspoken leadership style and strong grassroots support have continued to shape Nairobi’s political landscape.
The poll also reflects mixed public perception of the current county administration, with a notable share of respondents rating Governor Sakaja’s performance as fair or poor.
According to the survey, the key issues influencing voter sentiment in Nairobi include unemployment and insecurity, which were cited by 24 % of respondents.
The rising cost of living followed at 20 % while concerns around garbage collection, sanitation, and infrastructure were also mentioned but ranked lower in priority.
Observers note that Owino’s strong showing may reflect his appeal among younger voters and residents frustrated by persistent urban challenges.
Meanwhile, in the Senate race, Senator Edwin Sifuna appears firmly in control with 47.5 % support, significantly ahead of Lang’ata MP Phelix Odiwuor, popularly known as Jalang’o, who polled 21.6 %.
Sifuna’s numbers indicate a solid voter base as he weighs whether to defend his Senate seat or pursue broader political ambitions, amid increasing calls from leaders in his home county of Bungoma.
The poll also highlights a complex political dynamic in Nairobi.
While Babu Owino appears to command a consolidated opposition support base, several candidates associated with the ruling coalition could end up splitting votes, potentially reshaping the final outcome of the gubernatorial contest.
In the Senate race, Sifuna’s lead may face competition from Jalang’o, who is widely seen as having influence within the current national administration.
Political analysts say the eventual outcome of Nairobi’s races may depend on whether parties aligned to the ruling coalition can unite behind a single candidate or continue to fragment their support, a scenario that could further strengthen the position of candidates currently leading in the polls.
