A recent survey by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) has found that 50% of Kenyans believe a second Donald Trump presidency would negatively affect Kenya, highlighting growing concern over the potential global ripple effects of U.S. political leadership.
The poll, released this week, shows that only 24% of Kenyans view Trump’s potential return to the White House as beneficial to the country, while 18% believe it would make no difference. Another 8% were undecided or expressed no opinion.
Political analysts attribute the skepticism to memories of Trump’s previous term (2017–2021), which was marked by his “America First” agenda. The policy often led to reduced engagement with Africa, particularly in the areas of trade, aid, and diplomatic relations.
“Kenya, like many African nations, relies significantly on U.S. partnerships in security, healthcare, and economic programs,” noted a regional policy analyst. “There’s fear that another Trump presidency could disrupt this balance, especially regarding the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), foreign aid, and health initiatives.”
Trump’s administration previously proposed major funding cuts to USAID and global health programs, including PEPFAR, a U.S.-backed initiative vital to Kenya’s HIV/AIDS response. Additionally, job losses linked to reductions in foreign aid have contributed to the negative perception.
Recent U.S. tariffs on certain Kenyan exports have further fueled unease, with many Kenyans viewing the move as punitive and potentially damaging to bilateral trade.
However, not all Kenyans share the pessimism. Supporters of Trump’s potential return argue that his business-centric policies could benefit Kenya’s private sector, citing possible increases in foreign direct investment and infrastructure development.
Despite these differing views, the TIFA poll indicates that a significant portion of the Kenyan public remains wary of how U.S. leadership under Trump might shape the country’s future.
Written By Rodney Mbua
