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Tuesday, October 14, 2025
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Why ending HIV still rests on a working cure — as well as prevention

New HIV infections continue to drive the epidemic. Shutterstock Linda-Gail Bekker, University of Cape Town

The global AIDS response has made significant progress in reducing HIV infections and AIDS-related deaths. New HIV infections dropped by 16% from 1.9 million 2010 to 1.6 million in 2017. And the number of AIDS-related deaths decreased from 1.4 million to 940 000 in the same period.

But HIV/AIDS has not been brought under control and new infections continue to drive the epidemic. AIDS remains a leading cause of death in Africa.

Even if new infections are prevented, 36.9 million people with HIV around the world must take antiretroviral treatment to live a healthy life. While treatment is now as simple as taking a single pill a day, there are still many challenges to daily adherence, including ongoing stigma.

An ultimate solution would be a workable cure. At the recent Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections researchers confirmed the second ever case of HIV remission or “cure”. Known as the “London patient”, the person went into remission after a stem cell transplant as part of his treatment for cancer. He emerged from the procedure free of both his life-threatening Lymphoma and need for anti-HIV therapy.

The “Berlin patient”, Timothy Brown, made global headlines in 2008 when scientists announced that he had been cured of HIV. It’s been 12 years since Brown was cured, after undergoing chemotherapy, total body irradiation and two stem cell transplants. Brown has been off treatment since the transplant and, after multiple tissue sampling procedures, has no remaining evidence of HIV reservoirs. The London patient is now the longest adult HIV remission after stem cell transplantation since the “Berlin patient”.

This development is a triumph for medical science as well as for the London patient. But, as exciting as it is, stem cell transplant is a gruelling and dangerous procedure and isn’t the magic bullet that will end HIV/AIDS. This is because it’s unfortunately not a scalable, feasible cure for the 39 million people currently living with HIV.

Stem cell transplants

The “London patient” was HIV positive, but it was his Hodgkin’s lymphoma that led to the need for a stem cell transplant.

The HI virus must link to a human host T cell in the blood or lymph nodes to replicate and infect the body. The virus attaches itself to a set of special links on the human T cell. If one of those links isn’t available due to genetic mutations, the virus may find it harder to get an infection foothold.

One such genetic mutation occurs in a link called the “CCR5 receptor”. Some people have this mutation naturally. The “London patient”, while on antiretroviral therapy and virally suppressed, had a bone marrow transplant as part of his lymphoma treatment. The bone marrow donor had the genetic mutation and passed it on to the “London patient” through the procedure, making it more difficult for HIV to replicate.

The “London patient” stopped taking antiretroviral therapy 16 months after the transplant. And 18 months later the virus remains undetectable. Usually, when a person with HIV stops treatment, the virus rebounds within the first month.

The achievement of remission in a second patient has provided further critical information to inform our understanding of how HIV infection occurs and the interaction between human cells and the virus.

As important as this work is, there’s no scalable cure yet and it’s also vital that researchers – and countries – keep putting effort into prevention. Important work continues to be done in this area.

Prevention

As HIV cure research goes on, so does research into HIV prevention tools, such as Pre-exposure prophylaxis (a daily pill that protects you from HIV infection) and the development of a preventative vaccine.

Two late stage vaccine trials are underway in sub-Saharan Africa. Results will be available in 2022. A preventative vaccine would also greatly enhance efforts to being the HIV epidemic under control.

A working cure, together with a preventative vaccine would be the ingredients for HIV eradication. Until then we need to get effective, accessible treatment for all who need it, while deploying the many prevention tools at our disposal.The Conversation

Linda-Gail Bekker, Professor of medicine and deputy director of the Desmond Tutu HIV Centre at the Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Parties aren’t taking big issues seriously in South Africa’s election campaign

Mmusi Maimane, leader of South Africa’s main opposition party, the Democratic Alliance, on the campaign trail. EFE-EPA /Kim Ludbrook Steven Friedman, University of Johannesburg

Democracy is meant to be a system in which political parties compete to convince the people that they have answers to their most pressing problems. South Africa’s election campaign shows that it does not always operate that way.

The national and provincial elections on 8 May, in which the governing African National Congress (ANC) is hoping to end a decline in its support, is loud and hard-fought. But there is little connection between the problems facing South Africans and the issues over which the campaign is being fought.

South Africa’s core problem is a weak economy which is unable to grow at a rate which preserves people’s living standards. This is a consequence of deeply rooted problems, hold-overs of the country’s minority-ruled past which persist despite 25 years of democracy.

One such hold-over is the exclusion of millions of people from the economy’s benefits. Many South Africans don’t earn a wage or salary because the formal job market is closed to them. Neither government policy nor business practice have found ways to ensure that they can earn a living and contribute to the economy even if they have no formal job. This reduces both the talents available in the mainstream economy and the markets into which businesses can sell their products.

Another is the survival of the racial patterns of the past, albeit in new forms. This ensures a lack of trust between (largely black) government and (largely white) business which makes cooperation to address economic problems difficult.

Although a growing black middle-class has emerged, its members are probably the angriest people in the country because they believe their abilities and qualifications are not recognised by the white business people and professionals who, in their view, remain in charge.


Read more: White monopoly capital: good politics, bad sociology, worse economics


Besides damaging the economy, this ensures middle-class support for demands such as land expropriation without compensation. The ensuing disputes damage confidence and make growth much less likely.

About symptoms, not causes

If life worked in the ways in which textbooks say it does, these issues would be at the centre of the election campaign. We would expect parties to be competing to show that they have the best solutions to slow growth, the exclusion of millions from the economy, and racial tension.

They are doing no such thing. To the extent that the campaign is about anything other than name-calling, it is about symptoms, not causes.

If there is a key campaign issue, it is corruption. The ANC is trying to convince voters that its new leadership is committed to rooting out misuses of public funds and trust while the opposition insists that it has not mended its ways.

Corruption is obviously a huge problem. But there are two problems with the way it is being treated in the campaign. First, the parties are not trying to sell voters concrete plans to root out corruption. Rather, the campaign assumes that corruption will disappear miraculously if some politicians are replaced by others.

The governing party says its leadership will do the trick; the opposition, that only their leaders will. But the problem did not end when the ANC leadership changed and it persists in cities which the opposition won in 2016. It is deep-rooted whoever governs and will continue until concrete plans to tackle it are implemented. None of the parties have any plans.

Second, corruption is a symptom of the economic problem. If ambitious people cannot get into the middle-class because the doors to the formal economy’s benefits are closed to them, they will use politics to move upwards, and won’t necessarily play fair because the stakes are so high.

If poor people cannot get a wage or salary they will, if they can, attach themselves to politicians and support whoever gives them what they need to get on. If the imagination of the political class does not stretch further than claiming repeatedly that they are clean, their claims to good faith will be undermined by continued sleaze below the surface.

Immigration, and platitudes

A more sinister feature of the campaign is that parties are competing to show that they are tough on immigration.


Read more: South Africa’s Democratic Alliance plays populist immigration card


This makes economic problems harder to solve – the country has a skills shortage and keeping out people with abilities and qualifications has to harm the economy: the Minister of Finance, Tito Mboweni, said as much in his February budget speech.

Again this is a response to symptoms, not causes: while hostility to foreigners is a world-wide trend, it takes on its most virulent form when economies cannot meet people’s needs.

The racial issue is, in effect, ignored – except where politicians or parties see mileage in keeping alive the racial stereotypes which cause the problem in the first place. How to encourage South Africans to talk seriously, let alone bargain, across the divide is a non-issue for all the parties.

For the rest, the campaign is about platitudes. All the parties are in favour of creating millions of jobs but no-one knows how. And no-one addresses the reality that the jobs which they claim they will create were extinguished years ago and the crisis will persist until they start talking about how to include in the economy the hundreds of thousands who won’t have formal jobs.

They all support better government services and they all believe their leaders are better than anyone else’s. None of them seem able to move out of their rut to recognise what is ailing the country, let alone to suggest ways of solving problems.

Limitations of party politics

The textbook view would suggest that this means the country is incapable of addressing its problems. It does not. It simply means that party politics cannot do this. Progress will depend on whether the key interests in the economy and the society are capable of making deals which will address the problems. Whether or not this happens does not depend on what parties say on the hustings.

But the election is important. It will decide whether politicians are elected who are open to that deal-making. But, as long as the real issues are absent from the campaign, citizens will be given no say in how these issues are tackled. In a democracy, discussions on how to solve problems should happen in public and parties should implement solutions which voters have chosen. South Africa is still far away from that possibility.The Conversation

Steven Friedman, Professor of Political Studies, University of Johannesburg

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Suspect behind the 2 Billion shilling fake currency probe linked to another scam

One of the suspects behind the scandalous 2 Billion shillings fake currency Ahmed Shah, has been charged at the Milimani Law Courts for obtaining Ksh. 3,300,000 from one Esther Wanjiru Mwaka.

 
The accused, Mohammed Ejaz alias Ahmed Shah allegedly pretended to be in a position to supply her with dental formula powder a fact he knew to be false. 


Appearing before Senior Principal Magistrate, Kennedy Cheruiyot at the Milimani law courts, he pleaded not guilty. 
Mohamed Ejaz is also a suspect in the Barclays bank 2billion fake currency scandal where he paused as a businesses man. 


He will be detained at Pangani police station for 2 days awaiting mention of the case on 3rd April, 201

Gold trader charged in court for not filing taxes

A man has been charged at the Milimani Law Courts for conducting and dealing with gold business and failing to file returns with the Kenya Revenue Authority. 
The accused Yuni Maalim Muktar, is also charged of being in possession of 7 gold metallic bars, 2 gold raw and 1 nugget gold weighing 4433.22grams valued at Ksh. 17,888,117 million without a permit from the state department of geology and mining. 
Appearing before Senior Principal Magistrate, Kennedy Cheruiyot he pleaded not guilty. However through his lawyer the accused is said to be  a junior employee of Pacific Ocean Company Limited and according to KRA his bank account had a huge amount of money and as a Kenyan citizen he defaulted the obligation to pay tax returns. Therefore, it is not yet clear how his bank account had such a huge amount of money. 
He will be released on a bond of Ksh.5M and an alternative cash bail of Ksh. 500,000.

Uhuru: You have brought honour and pride to Kenya, teacher Tabichi

President Uhuru Kenyatta has expressed his gratitude to teacher Peter Mokaya Tabichi for winning this year’s Global Teacher Prize and said the win will uplift the teaching profession in the country.

Speaking when he met teacher Tabichi at State House Nairobi, President Kenyatta said by winning the global award, the Kenyan teacher has demonstrated that commitment and integrity pays off.

“You have brought honour and pride to the people of Kenya and your win will raise the profile of the teaching profession,” said the President.

President Kenyatta said teacher Tabichi is a role model and an inspiration to society especially to fellow teachers and students.

Peter Tabichi who was declared the recipient of the 2019 Varkey Foundation Global Teacher Prize on Sunday in Dubai, is a mathematics and physics teacher at Keriko Mixed Day Secondary School in Pwani village, Nakuru County.

The award comes with a US$1 million prize, which is equivalent to Shs 100 million. The money will be paid in batches over a period of 10 years.

“This is just the beginning, you have become an inspiration and mentor to your colleagues so that they can also aspire to greatness,” said the President.



He commended teacher Tabichi’s commitment and devotion to the work of educating the youth saying Kenyans should aspire to emulate virtues and qualities demonstrated by teacher Tabichi.

“Peter embodies the spirit and qualities that every Kenyan should aspire to,” said the Head of State.

The President committed to donate Shs 20 million to Keriko Mixed Day Secondary School for the expansion of infrastructure and to encourage students to undertake science subjects.

During the award ceremony in Dubai, teacher Tabichi received glowing tributes from all over the world, with the founder of the prize, Sunny Varkey, expressing hope that Tabichi’s story, “will inspire those looking to enter the teaching profession and shine a powerful spotlight on the incredible work teachers do all over Kenya and throughout the world every day.”

At State House Nairobi, Tabichi was accompanied by CS Amina Mohammed, his family members led by his father Lawrence Tabichi and officials of the Varkey Foundation Global Teacher Prize.

Kenya to customise African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) for County Governments

Kenya is set to become the first country in Africa to apply the methods used in the African Peer Review Mechanism to strengthen its devolved government system.

The African Peer Review Mechanism, that was pioneered by countries including Kenya, has seen African nations review each other on governance and economic policies leading to improvements in performance in participating countries.

Kenya was first peer reviewed in 2006 and has been the first to undergo a second review in 2017.

The report of the second peer review was launched today at a function held at State House, Nairobi, where the plan to apply the same mechanism to counties was announced.

President Uhuru Kenyatta, who gave the keynote address at the function, said he was pleased with the tremendous progress attained by Kenya through the APRM.



The President said that he is happy that Kenya will set the pace in cascading the peer review mechanism to strengthen the efficient delivery of services at the county government’s level.

“Kenya will be among the first countries to customise the APRM mechanism to the second tier of governance and I believe this will foster democratic dialogue between leaders and citizens in the delivery of services,” said President Kenyatta.

President Kenyatta said Kenya will continue subjecting itself to peer reviews and is ready for the third APRM.

The milestones mentioned in the second review include the promulgation of the constitution of Kenya in 2010 and the establishment of the devolved system of government (County Governments) which has progressively resolved issues of perceived marginalization.

Other milestones include the successful establishment of constitutional commissions and independent offices.



The establishment of various affirmative action funds notably Women Enterprise Fund, Youth Enterprise Development Fund and the Uwezo Fund; and the establishment of Huduma Centres, as one-stop shops for public service delivery, were also cited as key the milestones in the report.

President Kenyatta said the Government is committed to continue improving service delivery to Kenyans and is ready to deal with challenges identified in the APRM report.

Some of challenges identified in the report include the issue of gender equity in governance, insecurity largely attributed to terrorism; containing the overall cost of the devolved system; diversity management for national unity; corruption and the quest for transformative leadership; and poverty and inequality.

The Head of State said following the review, the government has developed a National Plan of Action (NPoA) which outlines the President’s commitment to the implementation of the recommendations made in the report.

President Kenyatta said he will continue spearheading efforts to unite all Kenyans adding that the aim of his call for a united country is not political.

“When we say we want to be committed to bringing Kenyans together this is not a political agenda. There is no political intention of hurting this person or fighting this person,” said the President.

He urged politicians not to politicise the efforts to unite Kenyans because there is no hidden political motive.

“Let us stop politicising everything. This is a challenge we have as a country and we can only deal with it together,” said the President.

President Kenyatta also called on Kenyans to be united in the war on corruption because the country has to deal with the vice in order to achieve progress.



National Treasury Cabinet Secretary Henry Rotich and Kakamega Governor Wycliffe Oparanya spoke at the event.

CS Rotich, whose ministry is the focal point for the APRM process in Kenya, called on all government agencies to support the peer review activities.

Governor Oparanya, who is the chairman of the Council of Governors, said county governments are ready to embrace the peer review mechanism once its modalities are established.

The Chief Executive Officer of APRM Pof  Al-Amin Abu-Manga reiterated Kenya’s willingness to continue being subjected to the peer review mechanism and the achievements it has recorded over the years.

Press Release : KBC Announces new Managing Director

” Pursuant to the provisions of Section 5 (1) of the Kenya Broadcasting Corporation Act, I’m Pleased to announce the appointment of Dr. Naim Bilal Yaseen as the Managing Director of the Kenya Broadcasting Corporation, a State Corporation charged with the public service broadcasting function in Kenya.

Dr. Bilal earned his appointment following a competitive recruitment process initiated by the Board of the Corporation in 2018 and conducted with the assistance of PriceWaterHouse Coopers. He emerged the best candidate in a field of over 35 candidates who applied for the position, leading to interviews of shortlisted applicants on January 24, 2019.

The new MD has a wealth of over 29 years’ experience in media and communication
management, gained in the private and public sectors in Kenya. Until his appointment, Dr.
Bilal was the Acting Director of Information in the Government, under the Ministry of
Information, Communications and Technology. Previously, he served as the Director of Public Affairs and Communication in the Judiciary.

In the private sector, Dr. Bilal worked for the Nation Media Group for 19 years, where he rose to the position of Managing Editor / News Manager in both the Print and Broadcasting Divisions of the Company. Before joining the Government in 2009, he served as the
Director of the House Live Broadcasting Project in the National Assembly, under the
Parliamentary Strengthening Project which was co-implemented by the State University of New York (SUNY Kenya).

Dr. Bilal holds a PhD in Communications Studies from Moi University and a Masters degree in Communications Policy from City University, United Kingdom. As the incoming Managing Director, Dr. Bilal will be expected, together with the
management team and the board, to develop a turn around strategy to wake up the sleeping giant that The Kenya Broadcasting Corporation is.

Specifically, the new Managing Director will be expected to ensure that the broadcaster
becomes the leading choice of information and news for all Kenyans, across its various
broadcast channels. On top of this, he has been tasked to ensure that KBC ramps up its
production capacity and work with local content producers to ensure we have quality Kenyan content is availed through its channels.

Being a signal distributor for free to air digital TV channel, Dr. Bilal will be expected to work with the industry to guarantee improved and efficient distribution of TV content that can be received across the country.
Pursuant to Section 11 of the Kenya Broadcasting Corporation Act, the Managing Director of KBC is vested with the control and executive management of the Corporation, and discharges these responsibilities subject to the directions of the Board.

The Government, through the parent Ministry, is committing to provide all the necessary support required to ensure that the national broadcaster regains its glory of days before.
I congratulate Dr Bilal on his appointment and pledge the Government, and the Board’s
support, as he takes up this challenging but exciting responsibility.

President Museveni becomes first Foreign president to ride on Madaraka Express

President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni of Uganda made a historic ride on Kenya’s Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) from Mombasa to Nairobi making him the first foreign  Head of State to use the service.

President Uhuru Kenyatta set the pace for the historic journey yesterday when he announced that President Museveni would travel from Mombasa to Nairobi on Kenya’s new modern railway line whose predecessor was christened by British colonialists as the “Lunatic Express”.

“Once again you are making history by being the first Head of State to come to Mombasa on the occasion of a State Visit,” said President Kenyatta when he hosted the visiting Ugandan President for a state banquet at State House Mombasa.

“Again, President Museveni will tomorrow be the first Head of State to travel on our SGR from Mombasa to Nairobi. You have once again made history and showed the remarkable partnership that exists between our two countries,” said President Kenyatta.

The old railway line from Mombasa to Kisumu and later to Kampala was built by British colonial government from 1896 to 1906 and was initially named the Uganda Railway after its ultimate destination.

SGR commuter train christened Madaraka Express | Kenya Railways



President Kenyatta launched the SGR commuter train christened Madaraka Express on Wednesday, 31st May 2017, 120 years after the British Government rolled out the first rail network in Kenya.

The SGR runs parallel to the old metre gauge railway line. Passenger trains run between Mombasa Terminus in Miritini and the Nairobi Terminus in Syokimau near the Jomo Kenyatta International Airport.

On arrival at the Nairobi SGR Terminus, President Museveni was received by his host President Uhuru Kenyatta who was accompanied by Deputy President William Ruto among other senior government officials.

During the four hour journey, President Museveni was accompanied by Cabinet Secretaries Monica Juma and James Macharia.

Uganda President Museveni impressed by Port of Mombasa Technology

President Uhuru Kenyatta and visiting President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni toured the Port of Mombasa where they were briefed on the operations and recent developments at the facility.

Transport Cabinet Secretary James Macharia briefed President Kenyatta and President Museveni on the enhanced Standard Guage Railway (SGR) cargo transportation services from the port to the Nairobi Inland Container Depot.

The Transport CS pointed out that over 3 million tonnes of cargo was moved via the SGR between January 2018 and January this year.

In his presentation to the two Heads of State, Kenya Ports Authority Managing Director Daniel Manduku highlighted the improved performance of the port and the ongoing expansion of the facility.



Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) commissioner for customs and border Control Kevin Safari and Julius Rubagumya, the Uganda Revenue Authority Manager in Kenya, spoke on the achievements in cargo transportation between the two countries since the implementation of the Single Customs Territory (SCT).

“Our presentation focuses on the concept of the Single Customs Territory whereby we now have Kenya Revenue Authority working side by side with the Uganda Revenue Authority,” said Safari.

Safari said the implementation of the SCT has eliminated duplication of customs procedures in Kenya and Uganda leading to a reduction in cargo clearance time.

On his part, Rubagumya explained the benefits of the SCT saying it has enhanced cargo security through the Regional Electronic Cargo Tracking System in both Uganda and Kenya.

“Enhancing cargo security through the Electronic Cargo Tracking System is a huge relief to our governments but more so to the private sector. We used to have issues of escorts where police would escort cargo from here to Malaba and if you miss an escort on Friday evening maybe you are likely to get escort on Monday,” said Rubagumya.

“I am pleased to report that the physical escort is now history. We are using Electronic Cargo Tracking and we have monitoring centres both in Kampala and Nairobi such that as the trucks start the journey at the port, our officers on those centres are monitoring their movement,” he added.

Rubagumya said that along the roads there are also rapid response units that ensure no one diverts cargo or evades paying tax.

President Kenyatta and President Museveni were impressed by the operations at the port and the close collaboration between the Kenya Revenue Authority and the Uganda Revenue Authority that has improved efficiency at the port.

President Kenyatta inspected the ongoing construction of the modern Cruise Ship Terminal | PSCU


While at the port, President Kenyatta inspected the ongoing construction of the modern Cruise Ship Terminal that is currently 40 percent complete.

Briefing the President on the benefits of the cruise ship terminal, Tourism and Wildlife Cabinet Secretary Najib Balala said the modern facility will boost cruise ship tourism in the country.

East Africa should intervene to defuse Rwanda-Uganda war of words

Presidents Paul Kagame (right) and Yoweri Museveni observe a minute of silence during a genocide memorial. EPA/Ricky Gare Filip Reyntjens, University of Antwerp

The verbal exchanges between presidents Paul Kagame of Rwanda and Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, between their ministers and between their media have been escalating. In the aftermath, borders remain closed and trade and movement of people has been disrupted.

Historically the presidents of Rwanda and Uganda – and their countries – have been close allies. Kagame was among the “originals” of the National Resistance Movement that started a rebellion in 1981 . He and many other Rwandan fighters contributed significantly to Museveni’s seizure of power in 1986. In return, Uganda gave crucial support to the Rwandan Patriotic Front during the civil war in Rwanda. Without it, Kagame would probably not have taken power in 1994.

Again, during the first Congo war in 1997 the two were close allies in support of the rebellion that toppled Mobutu Sese Seko and brought Laurent Kabila to power in 1997.

At the end of the 1990s things changed, and the unthinkable happened. The two friends clashed on several occasions during the second Congo war. They fell out against the background of political differences on how to handle the war. But just as important was the competition between the countries over the exploitation of Congolese natural resources.

Hundreds of their soldiers were killed in 1999 and 2000. The entente cordiale never fully recovered.

A semblance of peace was restored in the early 2000s, but only after Clare Short, the then UK Secretary of State for International Cooperation, summoned the two to London in 2001 to avoid all-out war between Rwanda and Uganda.

A new round of hostilities erupted in 2017. These escalated considerably in early 2019. The Ugandan leadership alleges that there are external efforts to topple the regime. In response, the Rwandan Foreign Minister has claimed that hundreds of Rwandans were illegally deported from Uganda and that many have been arrested and tortured. In early March, Ugandan nationals and vehicles were denied entry at Gatuna border post.

Although a military confrontation remains implausible, today’s situation is reminiscent of the worst days between the two neighbours. Leaders of the region need to do more to avert a violent scenario.

Why relations went sour

In February 2017 a Rwandan news agency, Rushyashya, which was considered to be close to the intelligence services, claimed that a Uganda-backed rebel force was being set up at a training camp to the west of Kampala. It was said to be put in place by the exiled opposition movement Rwanda National Congress with the support of a Rwandan businessman who fell out with Kagame and set up a large tobacco development investment in northern Uganda.

Things came to a head at the end of October, when nine people were arrested and charged in Uganda with conspiracy in the kidnap and illegal deportation to Rwanda of an exiled former military officer six years ago. Lieutenant Joël Mutabazi was sentenced to life imprisonment in Rwanda on several counts related to subversion.

Then in mid-December, the Ugandan intelligence detained a high ranking Rwanda Patriotic Front official for “alleged espionage and activities which threaten national security”.

There have also been other bones of contention. These include air traffic rights, priorities on the construction of the new standard gauge railway, energy projects and French support for the training of Ugandan military units.

A number of incidents showed that relations continued to deteriorate throughout 2018. In early January, a former operative of Uganda’s intelligence agency wrote to Museveni to claim that he had been offered US$100,000 by Rwandan agents to assassinate him. And Ugandan nationals claimed they were being arbitrarily sacked in Rwandan media, schools and banks.

For its part, Kigali again accused Kampala of illegally detaining and torturing its citizens and of harbouring dissidents intent on destabilising Rwanda. Suspected Rwandan agents fled Kampala because of a crackdown by Ugandan security forces.

Distrust

Museveni and Kagame know each other very well. Nevertheless, the distrust between them is considerable. They both seem to genuinely believe that the other is bent on destabilising their respective regimes.

Earlier this month Kagame lashed out, claiming Uganda “had been undermining Rwanda since 1998”. He added that, faced with attempts to destabilise the country, “no one can bring me to my knees”. Museveni responded on the same day with a pointed warning:

Those who want to destabilise our country do not know our capacity. Once we mobilise, you can’t survive.

The Rwandan government has advised its citizens) not to travel to Uganda for safety reasons, and a week later effectively closed the border. This left hundreds of trucks stranded. Even ordinary Rwandans who used to go to Uganda for purchases, schools or medical care were prevented from crossing into Uganda. And to prevent them from using unofficial crossings, the Rwandan army destroyed makeshift bridges and arrested those attempting to pass.

Unconfirmed reports mentioned the deployment of Rwandan troops along the border. In mid-March, Ugandans started to shut down their businesses in Kigali because of a lack of supplies.

What next?

Where does this lead?

Both governments continue to trade accusations and take hostile unilateral actions. They aren’t even talking to one another directly to find solutions. In addition to impeding trade and the movement of people, the impasse is an obvious setback to cooperation and integration within the East African Community. Yet their neighbours Kenya and Tanzania remain silent.

Kenya’s president Uhuru Kenyatta met both Kagame and Museveni on the same day. But nothing concrete seems to have come from the bilateral talks. There’s been no follow-up. And no roadmap has emerged. Yet Kenyatta and Tanzanian President John Magufuli, as leaders of countries that control access to landlocked Uganda and Rwanda, have a powerful lever in their hands.

And if leaders of the East African Community prove unable to tackle this potentially destructive issue, then perhaps the African Union – which was chaired by Kagame until January – should take the lead.The Conversation

Filip Reyntjens, Emeritus Professor of Law and Politics Institute of Development Policy (IOB), University of Antwerp

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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